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ExxonMobil Pension Update: Q2 2024

by , | Updated: Mar 1, 2024 | Published: Mar 1, 2024 | ExxonMobil, Insights

ExxonMobil Pension Update 2024

ExxonMobil Pension Update: Q2 2024

An Update On Segment Rates And Their Effect On Your Pension Benefit

 

Concerns around the effect that higher rates have on the ExxonMobil Pension Plan’s lump sum values continue to be a key theme in 2024. As we highlighted in our past pension updates, higher interest rates (driven by inflation) cause a negative effect on the value of your ExxonMobil pension lump sum.

Our team has helped many ExxonMobil employees assess the impact of these rates on their retirement plans. If you’ve elected to stay with the company throughout the rate increases in 2021-23, it’s important to understand where things stand now, and what future interest rate moves might look like.

Q2 Rates Published: A Modest Decrease

As we’ve noted previously, each quarter’s rates are calculated by averaging the rates from the 4th and 5th month PRIOR to the beginning of the quarter as published by the IRS here. Therefore, the average of the November and December rates dictate the segment rates used for any individual retiring in Q2 of 2024. What did we see relative to the Q1 Rates?

ExxonMobil Pension Segment Rates 2024

As you can see, the segment rates decreased slightly as we transition from Q1 to Q2 2024 rates. As mentioned in our article on the Pension Plan, the lump sum value of your pension is what we call the “Present Value” of all the expected future cash flows and has an inverse relationship to segment interest rates.

lump sum segment rates calculation

For individuals looking to retire soon, this downward move in the segment rates will slightly increase lump sum values for retirees with a benefit commencement date (BCD) in Q2.

segment rate pension see saw

 

Where are rates going after Q2?

After hitting a low in late 2020, interest rates have been on a steady rise as the Federal Reserve uses monetary policy to fight inflation. With respect to the ExxonMobil pension, retirees have experienced relatively stable segment rates in the ~4.5 – ~5.5% range since the 4th quarter of 2022. Rates seem to have peaked right around 6% in the October of 2023 and have modestly decreased since then.

Predominant trends in inflation data have mostly pointed to inflation in the 2.5-3.5% range for the immediate future. Despite the significant normalization from the 9-10% inflation levels seen in recent history, the Federal reserve has recently indicated a willingness to keep rates near current levels if more progress towards their stated 2% inflation target is not made.

That said, an analysis of the bond market indicates that market participants are expecting rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by the end of 2024 with more reductions in 2025. If that occurs, segment rates will almost certainly decrease commensurate with these rate cuts.

For ExxonMobil employees, this potential decline suggests a favorable environment for future pension plan lump sum values, as lower interest rates could offer strategic opportunities for retirement planning.

What does this mean for the ExxonMobil Employee planning to retire today?

Although interest rates remain elevated today, this does not mean that it’s a bad time for ExxonMobil employees wishing to retire. Elevated interest rates offer an excellent opportunity to reinvest Lump Sum payouts into low-risk bond portfolios at attractive yields. These same bond portfolios should experience material gains if yields come down as anticipated. While interest rates directly impact Lump Sum values, creating and implementing a dependable reinvestment strategy afterward is even more important.

Need Some Help?

If you’d like some help from one of our CPAs or CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER (CFP®) advisors regarding this strategy and how it applies to you, the Rhame & Gorrell Wealth Management team is here to help.

Our experienced Wealth Managers can help you review your financial and tax situation inside the Savings Plan and come up with a custom tax optimization strategy going forward.

Feel free to contact us at (832) 789-1100, [email protected], or click one of the buttons below to ask a question or schedule your complimentary strategy session today.

 

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JEFFREY G RHAME, CFP®

Partner & Senior Wealth Manager
As a Wealth Manager, Kyle McClain serves on the Investment Committee, interfaces with clients, and coordinates ongoing financial planning initiatives. He also facilitates many marketing and business development functions for the firm.

Prior to joining RG Wealth, Kyle spent time with Fidelity Institutional Asset Management as an Investment Consultant and with Merrill Lynch as a Wealth Advisor. He graduated Magna Cum Laude with a dual degree in Finance and Economics from the University of Alabama. He also completed his CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ program at Texas A&M University, holds the CFP® designation, and has completed his Certified Investment Management Analyst (CIMA®) designation from the Yale School of Management.


JEFFREY G RHAME, CFP®

Wealth Manager
Tyler Miller joined the Rhame & Gorrell Wealth team in the Spring of 2020 and serves as a Wealth Manager. In this role, Tyler leads the process of creating and implementing comprehensive financial plans for clients and prospects of RGWM. As a CPA, he also acts as one of our in-house tax experts.

After growing up in The Woodlands area, Tyler received a full academic/athletic scholarship to The University of Incarnate Word in San Antonio. While a student athlete, Tyler graduated Summa Cum Laude with a Finance degree concentrated in financial planning. With his Bachelor’s under his belt, he decided to pursue his Master's of Science in Accounting (MSA) and graduated with Distinction. After college, Tyler was heavily recruited and took a position with Deloitte working within their corporate tax group. While Tyler enjoyed the analytical and research aspect of working at Deloitte, he realized that he had more of a passion for helping individuals directly, fueling his career change into financial services. Tyler has earned his Certified Public Accountant (CPA) license, his Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) certification, and his Certified Investment Management Analyst (CIMA®) certification.

 

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES:

Rhame & Gorrell Wealth Management is not affiliated with or endorsed by ExxonMobil

Rhame & Gorrell Wealth Management, LLC (“RGWM”) is an SEC registered investment adviser with its principal place of business in the State of Texas. Registration as an investment adviser is not an endorsement by securities regulators and does not imply that RGWM has attained a certain level of skill, training, or ability.

This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own CPA or tax professional before engaging in any transaction. The effectiveness of any of the strategies described will depend on your individual situation and should not be construed as personalized investment advice.

For additional information about RGWM, including fees and services, send for our Firm Disclosure Brochures as set forth on Form ADV Part 2A and Part 3 by contacting the Firm directly. You can also access our Firm Brochures at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov. Please read the disclosure brochures carefully before you invest or send money.

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